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This page shows the ELO score history of the selected club - mapping their best and worst sides of all time, and their most unlikely victories and defeats based on their ELO score.
Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
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NOTTINGHAM FOREST
score history | best teams | worst teams | significant victories | significant defeats | bogey teams
A historical overview of Nottingham Forest's ELO scores.
A list of the top 15 Nottingham Forest sides in history, based on their ELO score.
| Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1979 | Wednesday, September 5, 1979 | 4203.54 |
| 1978 | Saturday, November 11, 1978 | 4171.18 |
| 1989 | Wednesday, May 3, 1989 | 4158.69 |
| 1980 | Tuesday, January 22, 1980 | 4133.87 |
| 1990 | Sunday, February 11, 1990 | 4111.62 |
| 1967 | Tuesday, August 29, 1967 | 4104.63 |
| 1988 | Monday, April 4, 1988 | 4102.81 |
| 1987 | Monday, December 28, 1987 | 4100.28 |
| 1977 | Saturday, December 31, 1977 | 4099.63 |
| 1986 | Saturday, September 27, 1986 | 4095.62 |
| 1901 | Saturday, February 23, 1901 | 4092.54 |
| 1902 | Saturday, March 8, 1902 | 4085.94 |
| 1900 | Saturday, December 8, 1900 | 4085.60 |
| 1984 | Wednesday, September 5, 1984 | 4073.92 |
| 1981 | Wednesday, November 11, 1981 | 4073.41 |
A list of the worst 15 Nottingham Forest sides in history, based on their ELO score.
| Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1919 | Monday, September 1, 1919 | 3597.54 |
| 1920 | Saturday, September 4, 1920 | 3603.74 |
| 1915 | Saturday, April 24, 1915 | 3614.07 |
| 1914 | Saturday, October 17, 1914 | 3619.45 |
| 1913 | Saturday, December 20, 1913 | 3630.57 |
| 2006 | Wednesday, February 15, 2006 | 3636.71 |
| 1921 | Saturday, August 27, 1921 | 3661.04 |
| 1939 | Wednesday, February 8, 1939 | 3664.85 |
| 2005 | Friday, December 16, 2005 | 3680.19 |
| 1946 | Saturday, September 14, 1946 | 3687.12 |
| 1937 | Saturday, March 27, 1937 | 3698.55 |
| 1950 | Saturday, April 22, 1950 | 3702.02 |
| 2007 | Tuesday, February 20, 2007 | 3702.17 |
| 1938 | Saturday, November 26, 1938 | 3704.75 |
| 2008 | Saturday, October 25, 2008 | 3707.61 |
A listing of the 20 most significant victories in Nottingham Forest's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
| Match | Diff. | Win/Draw Exp % |
Score | ELO Score Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest (3223) vs. Preston North End (4182) Saturday, February 13, 1892 |
-860.6 | 0.7% | 2-0 | +29.8 |
| Nottingham Forest (3767) vs. Arsenal (4224) Sunday, January 7, 2018 |
-419.0 | 8.2% | 4-2 | +13.8 |
| Nottingham Forest (3941) vs. Liverpool (4358) Saturday, October 22, 2022 |
-380.1 | 10.1% | 1-0 | +18.0 |
| Nottingham Forest (3842) vs. Arsenal (4213) Sunday, January 9, 2022 |
-333.1 | 12.8% | 1-0 | +8.7 |
| Nottingham Forest (3604) vs. Notts County (3912) Saturday, September 11, 1920 |
-191.3 | 25.0% | 1-0 | +15.0 |
| Liverpool (4174) vs. Nottingham Forest (3877) Saturday, February 15, 1969 |
-401.2 | 9.0% | 0-2 | +27.3 |
| Nottingham Forest (3971) vs. Arsenal (4267) Saturday, May 20, 2023 |
-258.5 | 18.4% | 1-0 | +16.3 |
| Manchester United (4056) vs. Nottingham Forest (3775) Saturday, January 25, 1947 |
-405.2 | 8.8% | 0-2 | +27.3 |
| Nottingham Forest (3866) vs. Leicester City (4140) Sunday, February 6, 2022 |
-235.2 | 20.5% | 4-1 | +13.9 |
| Nottingham Forest (3805) vs. Chelsea (4074) Tuesday, March 14, 1972 |
-167.8 | 27.6% | 2-1 | +14.5 |
| Nottingham Forest (3955) vs. Tottenham Hotspur (4213) Wednesday, November 9, 2022 |
-221.0 | 21.9% | 2-0 | +11.7 |
| Manchester City (3992) vs. Nottingham Forest (3737) Saturday, January 3, 2009 |
-302.3 | 14.9% | 0-3 | +14.9 |
| Nottingham Forest (3639) vs. Notts County (3881) Friday, December 26, 1913 |
-121.0 | 33.3% | 1-0 | +13.3 |
| Nottingham Forest (3897) vs. Everton (4139) Friday, April 25, 1969 |
-137.1 | 31.2% | 1-0 | +13.8 |
| Nottingham Forest (3940) vs. Brighton and Hove Albion (4181) Wednesday, April 26, 2023 |
-203.9 | 23.6% | 3-1 | +22.9 |
| Birmingham City (3986) vs. Nottingham Forest (3746) Saturday, February 25, 2012 |
-285.9 | 16.2% | 1-2 | +16.8 |
| Manchester United (4209) vs. Nottingham Forest (3975) Saturday, December 17, 1994 |
-303.9 | 14.8% | 1-2 | +17.0 |
| Sheffield United (3940) vs. Nottingham Forest (3710) Saturday, December 24, 1938 |
-361.4 | 11.1% | 0-1 | +17.8 |
| Nottingham Forest (3683) vs. West Bromwich Albion (3912) Friday, April 7, 1939 |
-98.1 | 36.2% | 2-0 | +19.1 |
| Aston Villa (3960) vs. Nottingham Forest (3736) Wednesday, March 9, 1938 |
-356.4 | 11.4% | 1-2 | +17.7 |
A listing of the 20 most significant defeats in Nottingham Forest's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
| Match | Diff. | Win/Draw Exp % |
Score | ELO Score Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town (3443) vs. Nottingham Forest (3868) Tuesday, August 24, 1999 |
+357.5 | 88.7% | 1-0 | -8.9 |
| Bradford City (3643) vs. Nottingham Forest (4059) Tuesday, September 19, 1995 |
+348.3 | 88.1% | 3-2 | -8.8 |
| Bradford City (3499) vs. Nottingham Forest (3857) Tuesday, August 10, 2010 |
+312.7 | 85.8% | 2-1 | -8.6 |
| Wimbledon (3696) vs. Nottingham Forest (4031) Tuesday, October 4, 1983 |
+242.7 | 80.2% | 2-0 | -24.1 |
| Derby County (3697) vs. Nottingham Forest (4029) Saturday, January 8, 1983 |
+240.3 | 79.9% | 2-0 | -24.0 |
| Fulham (3633) vs. Nottingham Forest (3936) Saturday, February 18, 1905 |
+169.7 | 72.6% | 1-0 | -14.5 |
| Nottingham Forest (4047) vs. Wrexham (3750) Saturday, January 2, 1982 |
+396.1 | 90.7% | 1-3 | -27.2 |
| Bolton Wanderers (3814) vs. Nottingham Forest (4110) Saturday, March 1, 1980 |
+192.9 | 75.2% | 1-0 | -15.0 |
| Nottingham Forest (3773) vs. Leyton Orient (3484) Saturday, March 3, 1951 |
+382.8 | 90.1% | 0-1 | -18.0 |
| Sheffield United (3649) vs. Nottingham Forest (3936) Sunday, February 16, 2014 |
+245.9 | 80.5% | 3-1 | -18.1 |
| Coventry City (3701) vs. Nottingham Forest (3987) Saturday, February 19, 1910 |
+160.7 | 71.6% | 3-1 | -21.5 |
| Watford (3805) vs. Nottingham Forest (4081) Tuesday, October 28, 1980 |
+176.8 | 73.5% | 4-1 | -25.7 |
| Nottingham Forest (4149) vs. Brighton and Hove Albion (3882) Saturday, November 17, 1979 |
+370.1 | 89.4% | 0-1 | -17.9 |
| Portsmouth (3799) vs. Nottingham Forest (4064) Tuesday, September 25, 1984 |
+171.7 | 72.9% | 1-0 | -14.6 |
| Derby County (3871) vs. Nottingham Forest (4131) Saturday, November 24, 1979 |
+156.5 | 71.1% | 4-1 | -24.9 |
| Nottingham Forest (3898) vs. Walsall (3639) Wednesday, September 17, 1997 |
+322.7 | 86.5% | 0-1 | -8.7 |
| Crystal Palace (3791) vs. Nottingham Forest (4048) Sunday, January 11, 1987 |
+169.6 | 72.6% | 1-0 | -14.5 |
| Norwich City (3940) vs. Nottingham Forest (4197) Saturday, September 15, 1979 |
+153.1 | 70.7% | 3-1 | -21.2 |
| Scunthorpe United (3676) vs. Nottingham Forest (3931) Wednesday, February 16, 2011 |
+209.9 | 77.0% | 1-0 | -15.4 |
| Wimbledon (3762) vs. Nottingham Forest (4015) Wednesday, January 30, 1985 |
+160.0 | 71.5% | 1-0 | -14.3 |
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The twenty teams that Nottingham Forest are most successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).
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The twenty teams that Nottingham Forest are least successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).
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